IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Charleston Southern
Big South
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.2	#232
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.3	#274
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.1	#234

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.0	#249

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.0%	25.0%	8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.5	15.1

.500 or above	46.0%	80.7%	45.1%
.500 or above in Conference	67.0%	88.5%	66.4%
Conference Champion	11.9%	26.9%	11.5%
Last Place in Conference	4.6%	0.7%	4.7%

First Four	2.3%	2.3%	2.3%
First Round	7.9%	24.3%	7.5%
Second Round	0.4%	0.8%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.6%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Florida (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.9	0.0 - 1.9
Quad 1b	0.1 - 1.2	0.1 - 3.1
Quad 2	0.2 - 1.6	0.4 - 4.7
Quad 3	1.8 - 3.8	2.1 - 8.5
Quad 4	9.9 - 4.5	12.0 - 13.0

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2018	16	@ Florida	L	60-78	2%
Nov 13, 2018	348	South Carolina St.	W	78-67	91%
Nov 16, 2018	157	@ Middle Tennessee	L	64-69	24%
Nov 23, 2018	345	Coppin St.	W	71-61	82%
Nov 27, 2018	24	@ Marquette	L	66-83	4%
Dec 01, 2018	213	North Florida	L	79-80	58%
Dec 11, 2018	123	@ Furman	L	67-74	18%
Dec 15, 2018	213	@ North Florida	L	79-80	36%
Dec 18, 2018	18	@ Clemson	L	58-76	4%
Jan 05, 2019	255	High Point	W	67-66	65%
Jan 10, 2019	240	@ Hampton	W	74-73	41%
Jan 12, 2019	333	@ Longwood	W	73-66	65%
Jan 19, 2019	254	Campbell	W	71-70	64%
Jan 24, 2019	149	@ Radford	L	62-67	24%
Jan 26, 2019	218	Gardner-Webb	L	68-69	57%
Jan 30, 2019	319	Presbyterian	W	69-64	76%
Feb 02, 2019	334	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	79-71	65%
Feb 07, 2019	194	Winthrop	L	73-75	52%
Feb 09, 2019	294	@ UNC Asheville	W	71-68	52%
Feb 13, 2019	218	@ Gardner-Webb	L	68-69	37%
Feb 16, 2019	149	Radford	L	62-67	43%
Feb 21, 2019	334	South Carolina Upstate	W	79-71	82%
Feb 23, 2019	194	@ Winthrop	L	73-75	33%
Feb 27, 2019	294	UNC Asheville	W	71-68	69%
Mar 02, 2019	319	@ Presbyterian	W	69-64	58%
Projected Record						12.0 - 13.0	8.8 - 7.2

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	1.0	2.5	3.7	2.8	1.4	0.4		11.9	1st
2nd										0.1	1.6	4.7	4.5	2.1	0.3				13.3	2nd
3rd									0.1	1.5	5.0	4.4	1.1	0.0					12.2	3rd
4th								0.1	1.4	5.2	4.7	0.9	0.0						12.4	4th
5th							0.0	0.9	4.4	4.7	1.1	0.0							11.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.9	4.5	1.1	0.0								10.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	2.8	4.5	1.3	0.1									9.1	7th
8th				0.0	0.2	2.2	3.7	1.3	0.1										7.5	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.5	2.6	1.3	0.1	0.0										5.8	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	1.1	1.7	0.9	0.1												4.1	10th
11th	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.7	0.5	0.0													2.5	11th

Total	0.1	0.5	0.9	2.0	4.0	6.2	8.5	10.8	11.7	12.8	12.6	11.1	8.1	5.8	3.1	1.4	0.4			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
15-1	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.1
14-2	91.1%	2.8		2.2	0.6	0.0
13-3	63.8%	3.7		2.1	1.4	0.2	0.0
12-4	30.6%	2.5		0.7	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-5	9.2%	1.0		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0
10-6	0.7%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	11.9%	11.9		6.9	3.7	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.4%		61.2%	61.2%		12.8							0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2
15-1	1.4%		43.0%	43.0%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.8
14-2	3.1%		38.2%	38.2%		14.4												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.1	1.9
13-3	5.8%		28.9%	28.9%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.5	4.2
12-4	8.1%		20.2%	20.2%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.8	0.6	6.5
11-5	11.1%		12.8%	12.8%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	9.7
10-6	12.6%		8.1%	8.1%		15.8															0.0	0.2	0.8	11.6
9-7	12.8%		4.5%	4.5%		15.9																0.0	0.5	12.2
8-8	11.7%		3.2%	3.2%		16.0																0.0	0.4	11.4
7-9	10.8%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.2	10.6
6-10	8.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	8.5
5-11	6.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
4-12	4.0%																							4.0
3-13	2.0%																							2.0
2-14	0.9%																							0.9
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.0%	9.0%	0.0%	15.1							0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.7	4.1	91.0		0.0%